Blog: King of beers deposed, but so what?
Chris Brook-Carter | 5 March 2004
One of the biggest questions that seems to have arisen from the confusion that has followed the proposed creation of InterbrewAmbev, is how it will affect the current world's number one brewer Anheuser-Busch.
Most obviously, the deal is going to cost A-B bragging rights to the title of the world's largest brewer, as it wil be relegated to the silver medal spot in terms of global volumes.
However, of more concern to A-B and investors is how the US giant will respond, firstly, to having missed out on a golden opportunity to tie up with AmBev itself, and secondly, to the creation of such a giant on its doorstep.
The investment community so far seems split, although there is certainly no sign of panic from either A-B or its supporters. Of major concern is A-B's reluctance to really throw its hat into the consolidation ring. Yes, it has taken small stakes in overseas brewers, but, while it is doing so, its competitors are fast catching it up by forging mega deals such as this one, or the acquisition of Miller Brewing by SABMiller.
Furthermore, InterbrewAmBev cuts off another potential alleyway to growth and once again highlights Anheuser's reliance on the US for profits.
The deal is "a clear loss for Anheuser-Busch," said Andrew Conway, beverage analyst for Credit Suisse First Boston in New York.
That said, in a research note yesterday Mark Swartzberg, an analyst with Legg Mason, wrote: "If completed, the proposed Interbrew-AmBev combination relegates the king of beers to being king only of the global profit pool. A-B would continue to have the largest share of the global beer profit pool. But, on a volume basis, A-B would become the number-two global brewer behind the proposed InterbrewAmBev."
He went on: "But all scale is not created equally, and the proposed combination is of limited consequence to the current A-B's future cashflows and the certainty ascribable to realizing those cashflows, in our view. A-B continues to hold the distant share of the global beer profit pool, and the proposed combination brings little, if any, lasting top-line synergies to either party's US and Mexico business, where A-B makes its money. Nor does the combination represent a material change to the competitive landscape in China, an important cashflow driver for a future generation of A-B shareholders."
Heineken is gearing up for a product launch in Australia this month. But exactly what the product is, the brewer is not saying....
It's Summer in the northern hemisphere and the beer festivals are in full swing. Even the famously secluded North Korea is letting its regulation-cut hair down with the Taedonggang Beer Festival, name...
Drinks companies that use celebrities and influencers to endorse products via social media could be in line for some rule changes....
A couple of months ago, US-based Saltwater Brewery developed 'edible six-pack rings' in an effort to curb threats to wildlife....
- Craft spirits shake-out will be just the beginning
- How Treasury is rewriting the rule book - Comment
- Drinkable yogurt - The next drinks opportunity
- Coca-Cola India suspends bottling operations
- Has Diet Coke passed its sell-by date? - Comment
- Diageo brands need "fixing and nurturing" - TWE
- SAB shareholders granted AB InBev vote split
- Pernod Ricard wins Ron Matusalem 'Cuba' legal row
- Work begins on Glasgow distillery
- This week in wine & spirits on just-drinks
- The Next Seven Big Beverage Markets
- Global rum insights - market forecasts, product innovation and consumer trends
- Carlsberg AS (CARL B) - Financial and Strategic SWOT Analysis Review
- Global RTD insights - market forecasts, product innovation and consumer trends
- Adultifying Soft Drinks; Capitalizing on rising adult demand for non-alcoholic beverages