Vietnam Food and Drink Report Q2 2013
Report description
We remain optimistic about the longer-term commercial potential of Vietnam, a view based on factors such as the country's favourable demographic profile, with under-30s accounting for half of the total population, and the immaturity of the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors. Additionally, urban consumers in particular are increasingly receptive to marketing and promotional initiatives, with premiumisation thus expected to remain one of the key drivers of consumer spending. Recent economic data have reinforced our bullish outlook for the Vietnamese economy to expand at a robust pace of 7.0% in 2013. Although we expect growth to be highly uneven at the industry level, with the banking and property sectors likely to experience a weak recovery, we do foresee a strong pickup in retail sector growth as pent-up domestic demand recovers.
Headline Industry Data (local currency)
¦ 2013 per capita food consumption growth = +8.0%; forecast compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 2017 = +9.0%
¦ 2013 alcoholic drink value sales = +14.3%; forecast CAGR to 2017 = +14.0%
¦ 2013 soft drink value sales = +15.1%; forecast CAGR to 2017 = +14.2%
¦ 2013 mass grocery retail sales = +12.8%; forecast CAGR to 2017 = +12.7%
Table of contents
Chapter - BMI Industry View
Chapter - SWOT
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Chapter - Industry Forecast
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Canned Food
Table: Canned Food Volume/Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Pasta
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Volume/Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drinks Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Table: Carbonates Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format (%)
Trade
Table: Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Chapter - Macroeconomic Forecast
Vietnam Macroeconomic Forecasts
Ratings Downgrade Failed To Surprise Investors
Early Signs Of A Recovery
Threat Of Slower Growth Yet To Undermine Efforts For Reforms
Expenditure Breakdown
Table: Vietnam - Economic Activity
Chapter - Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q213
Table: Asia Pacific Q213 Selected Countries Risk/Reward Sub Factor Ratings (scores out of 10)
Vietnam
Chapter - Market Overview
Food
Agriculture
Food Processing
Food Consumption
Drink
Hot Drinks
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Structure Of Vietnam's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
Chapter - Industry Trends And Developments
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Chapter - Competitive Landscape
Food & Drink
Table: Key Players In Vietnam's Food Sector
Table: Key Players In Vietnam's Drink Sector
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players In Vietnam's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Chapter - Company Profile
Vinamilk
Unilever Vietnam
Nestlé Vietnam
Masan Consumer
San Miguel Pure Foods
Habeco
Sabeco
Carlsberg
Metro Cash & Carry Vietnam
Saigon Co-op
Chapter - Global Industry Overview
Table: Core Views
Chapter - Demographic Forecast
Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Vietnam's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Vietnam's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Vietnam's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Chapter - Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Chapter - Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Rewards
Table: Risks
Table: Weighting
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