Italy Food and Drink Report Q3 2014

Italy Food and Drink Report Q3 2014

Published: July 2014
Publisher: Business Monitor International (BMI)
Product ref: 216777
Pages: 111
Format: PDF
Delivery: Immediate download

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BMI View: Following nine straight quarters of contraction, Q414 saw the Italian economy expand by 0.1%, and we forecast real GDP growth in Italy to reach 0.4% and 0.7% in 2014 and 2015 respectively. Despite a return to positive growth this year we do not expect the economy to grow at a rate in excess of 1% over our forecast period to 2022, and both public and private sector consumption remains depressed. With one of the highest household savings rates in Europe prior to the crisis, and among the lowest private debt burdens, private consumption has not been a strong driver of GDP growth in the past decade. We do not expect this trend to change, and forecast private consumption growth of 0.3% and 0.7% in 2014 and 2015 respectively. This has negative implications for food and drink spending, although we do expect to see an improvement in this over our forecast period.
Headline Industry Data (local currency) ¦ 2014 per capita food consumption = +0.7% year-on-year (y-o-y); compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2013 to 2018 = +1.2% ¦ 2014 alcoholic drink value sales = +1.7%; CAGR 2013 to 2018 = +2.1% ¦ 2014 soft drink value sales = +0.9% ; CAGR 2013 to 2018 = +2.3% ¦ 2014 mass grocery retail sales = +0.8%; CAGR 2013 to 2018 = +1.4%

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By sector: General drinks

By market: Italy (in Europe)


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