Brazil Food and Drink Report Q4 2014

Brazil Food and Drink Report Q4 2014

Published: September 2014
Publisher: BMI Research
Product ref: 220320
Pages: 142
Format: PDF
Delivery: Immediate download

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We expect real private consumption growth in Brazil to remain moderate in the coming quarters, in line with our full-year forecast of 2.2%, down from 2.6% in 2013. This is underpinned by or view that currency depreciation will continue to erode households' purchasing power and high interest rates will temper demand for credit (see 'Weaker Consumer To See Economic Recovery Falter', February 21). We also expect weak consumer confidence to cap private consumption this year, with households less likely to spend in light of deteriorating economic prospects.

Food and retail consumption is likely to outperform among the country's private consumption items, and we project generally strong sales growth for the main companies in the sector. We also believe that a moderation in input prices (grains) could help margins for these companies to recover in the coming months.

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By sector: General drinks

By market: Brazil (in South America), Brazil (in BRICM)

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